BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red-eyed Vireo In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsForest birds

Red-eyed Vireo in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 190% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+190%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
166Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-eyed Vireo has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 190% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-eyed Vireo in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 20% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 13–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+20%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
13–1995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±11.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-eyed Vireo in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 20% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 13–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025151218
2026151219
2027161219
2028161319
2029161319

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Red-eyed Vireo in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CentervilleMISSOURI902024
Boston Mtn.ARKANSAS822024
BelmontINDIANA782024
HoosierINDIANA692024
RomeOHIO592024
LurtonARKANSAS562023
Trace CollinwoodTENNESSEE552018
ComptonARKANSAS492022
BrownsvilleKENTUCKY472024
BennettMISSOURI472024
Ozark NfARKANSAS462024
HildaMISSOURI442024
RupertARKANSAS432024
CollinwoodTENNESSEE432024
Trace LewisTENNESSEE432017
WescoMISSOURI332024
MarshallARKANSAS322021
GeorgiaINDIANA302024
CascadeMISSOURI282024
RudyARKANSAS262024
Mammoth CaveKENTUCKY262014
Silver PtTENNESSEE262024
SanduskyILLINOIS242023
Lewis ForestTENNESSEE242024
ViburnumMISSOURI232024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.