BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Red-eyed Vireo In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsForest birds

Red-eyed Vireo in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 182% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+182%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
166Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Red-eyed Vireo has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 182% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Red-eyed Vireo In Central Hardwoods Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red-eyed Vireo in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 31% by 2030 — from 12 in 2025 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 13–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+31%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
16Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
13–1995% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±12.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Red-eyed Vireo in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 31% by 2030 — from 12 in 2025 to a central estimate of 16 (95% range 13–19). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.2%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2026151218
2027151219
2028161219
2029161319
2030161319

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Red-eyed Vireo in Central Hardwoods.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
CentervilleMISSOURI1052025
Boston Mtn.ARKANSAS792025
BelmontINDIANA782024
HoosierINDIANA662025
LurtonARKANSAS562023
Trace CollinwoodTENNESSEE552018
ComptonARKANSAS492022
Ozark NfARKANSAS492025
BrownsvilleKENTUCKY472024
BennettMISSOURI452025
RomeOHIO452025
RupertARKANSAS432024
Trace LewisTENNESSEE432017
CascadeMISSOURI392025
CollinwoodTENNESSEE352025
WescoMISSOURI342025
MarshallARKANSAS322021
HildaMISSOURI322025
WilliamsvillMISSOURI302025
AkersMISSOURI282025
Mammoth CaveKENTUCKY262014
Silver PtTENNESSEE262024
New PhilaINDIANA252025
ZionARKANSAS242025
RudyARKANSAS242025

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.