BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red Crossbill In Northern Pacific Rainforest

All regionsNorthern Pacific RainforestGeneralists

Red Crossbill in Northern Pacific Rainforest has surged: up 80% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

+80%Since 1971
131Routes In Region
55Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red Crossbill has surged in Northern Pacific Rainforest: up 80% on the route-weighted index since 1971.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red Crossbill in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to rise about 143% by 2029 — from 1.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.4 (95% range 0.21–8.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±141.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+143%Change by 2029
4.4Projected 2029 index
0.21–8.595% range
±141.4%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.20.078.4
20264.30.108.4
20274.30.148.5
20284.30.178.5
20294.40.218.5

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording Red Crossbill in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
YakutatALASKA1502014
TaholahWASHINGTON1402022
PetersburgALASKA1331987
Hurricane RgWASHINGTON552023
Mendota 2WASHINGTON421996
ScioOREGON352005
MukilteoWASHINGTON352015
Secret ValOREGON341988
NeiltonWASHINGTON321975
GlasgowOREGON272024
OzetteWASHINGTON252022
Redwood N.P. 2CALIFORNIA242013
SvensenOREGON241992
Days CreekOREGON222021
HainesALASKA211999
CamasWASHINGTON182005
Trask SummitOREGON152023
Riley PeakOREGON152014
Juneau AltALASKA141984
Rio DellCALIFORNIA142005
UmpquaOREGON142024
Thorne Bay 2ALASKA132024
ShellrockOREGON122023
Harlequin L.ALASKA102023
DirigioCALIFORNIA102006

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.