Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red Crossbill In Chihuahuan Desert
Red Crossbill in Chihuahuan Desert has collapsed: down 91% on the route-weighted index since 1982.
-91%Since 1982
3Routes In Region
24Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Red Crossbill has collapsed in Chihuahuan Desert: down 91% on the route-weighted index since 1982.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Red Crossbill in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.68). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±141.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2027
0.00Projected 2027 index
0.00–0.6895% range
±141.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 |
| 2024 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 |
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.68 |
Routes In Chihuahuan Desert
| Carrizozo | NEW-MEXICO | 7 | 2009 |
| Cloudcroft | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2022 |
| Pinon | NEW-MEXICO | 1 | 2007 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.