Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Red Crossbill In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
Red Crossbill in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has surged: up 380% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+380%Since 1971
127Routes In Region
54Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Red Crossbill has surged in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: up 380% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Red Crossbill in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 0.00–4.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±64.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-22%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–4.295% range
±64.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 4.2 |
| 2026 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 4.2 |
| 2027 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 4.2 |
| 2028 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 4.2 |
| 2029 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 4.2 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Comanche Pk | COLORADO | 59 | 2024 |
| Mcphee Res. | COLORADO | 48 | 2024 |
| Haycamp Mesa | COLORADO | 47 | 2024 |
| Fletcher Pk | WYOMING | 40 | 2016 |
| Sawmill | ARIZONA | 38 | 2008 |
| Powderhorn | COLORADO | 37 | 2018 |
| Fayette | UTAH | 30 | 1993 |
| Buffalo Park | COLORADO | 24 | 2023 |
| Mount Evans | COLORADO | 23 | 2024 |
| Pinos Creek | COLORADO | 21 | 1990 |
| Rollins Pass | COLORADO | 21 | 2022 |
| Stillwater Pass | COLORADO | 18 | 2007 |
| Richfield | UTAH | 18 | 2000 |
| Counselor | NEW-MEXICO | 17 | 2001 |
| Warbonnet | WYOMING | 17 | 2024 |
| Pinon | COLORADO | 16 | 2024 |
| Ryan Park | WYOMING | 15 | 2023 |
| Mt. Taylor | NEW-MEXICO | 14 | 2012 |
| Flattops | COLORADO | 12 | 2014 |
| Wasatch Nf | UTAH | 11 | 2024 |
| Dry Park | ARIZONA | 10 | 2024 |
| Yellowjacket Pass | COLORADO | 9 | 2024 |
| Claunch | NEW-MEXICO | 9 | 1999 |
| Heber Mtn. | UTAH | 9 | 2024 |
| Guffey | COLORADO | 8 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.