BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Red Crossbill In Atlantic Northern Forest

All regionsAtlantic Northern ForestGeneralists

Red Crossbill in Atlantic Northern Forest has surged: up 309% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+309%Since 1970
53Routes In Region
46Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Red Crossbill has surged in Atlantic Northern Forest: up 309% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Red Crossbill in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to fall about 70% by 2029 — from 0.55 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.17 (95% range 0.00–0.44). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±133.4%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-70%Change by 2029
0.17Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4495% range
±133.4%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.160.000.43
20260.160.000.43
20270.160.000.43
20280.160.000.43
20290.170.000.44

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Red Crossbill in Atlantic Northern Forest.
StacyvilleMAINE162023
NewcombNEW-YORK142007
East CalaisVERMONT122024
Jefferson HlNEW-HAMPSHIRE92015
UnderwoodNEW-YORK81983
CharlestonMAINE72017
Grnd Lk StrmMAINE61992
Priestly Br.MAINE62000
LandgroveVERMONT62024
BethelMAINE52010
WalpoleNEW-HAMPSHIRE52023
MckeeverNEW-YORK52012
WarrensburgNEW-YORK51969
ReedsMAINE42024
Brownfield 2MAINE42024
StratfordNEW-HAMPSHIRE42019
MiddlesexVERMONT42018
Wilson MillsMAINE32024
NesowadnehunMAINE32019
ConcordNEW-HAMPSHIRE32023
WilmotNEW-HAMPSHIRE32023
Dexter LakeNEW-YORK31969
MedwayMAINE22018
AndoverMAINE22018
Mt ChocoruaNEW-HAMPSHIRE22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.