Species · BCR 32 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pygmy Nuthatch In Coastal California
Pygmy Nuthatch in Coastal California has fallen sharply: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-66%Since 1970
29Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Pygmy Nuthatch has fallen sharply in Coastal California: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Pygmy Nuthatch in Coastal California is projected to rise about 56% by 2029 — from 0.53 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.83 (95% range 0.00–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±90%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+56%Change by 2029
0.83Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.795% range
±90%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.94 | 0.00 | 2.8 |
| 2026 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 2.8 |
| 2027 | 0.88 | 0.00 | 2.8 |
| 2028 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 2.8 |
| 2029 | 0.83 | 0.00 | 2.7 |
Routes In Coastal California
| Valyermo | CALIFORNIA | 45 | 2018 |
| Mt Laguna | CALIFORNIA | 41 | 1987 |
| Big Bear | CALIFORNIA | 37 | 1986 |
| Mt Pinos | CALIFORNIA | 16 | 2004 |
| Lake Hemet | CALIFORNIA | 15 | 1986 |
| Lake Hemet 2 | CALIFORNIA | 9 | 2023 |
| Lockwood Val | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 1987 |
| Waterman Gap | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2024 |
| Cleveland Nf | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2018 |
| Fairfax | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Green Valley | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2023 |
| Tehama | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 1992 |
| Woodlands | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2024 |
| Point Reyes | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2021 |
| Anza 2 | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 2024 |
| Calpella | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1980 |
| Colma | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1972 |
| Mt Pinos 2 | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Glen Ellen | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2001 |
| Cleveland Nf 2 | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2022 |
| Tujunga | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1971 |
| Fallsvale | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1975 |
| Glen Ellen 2 | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2015 |
| Pescadero | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Moraga | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2018 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.