Species · BCR 15 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Plumbeous Vireo In Sierra Nevada
Plumbeous Vireo in Sierra Nevada has collapsed: down 91% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
-91%Since 1975
5Routes In Region
38Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Plumbeous Vireo has collapsed in Sierra Nevada: down 91% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Plumbeous Vireo in Sierra Nevada is projected to fall about 77% by 2029 — from 0.05 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.01 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1071.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-77%Change by 2029
0.01Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.495% range
±1071.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 1.5 |
| 2027 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
Routes In Sierra Nevada
| Tahoe Nf | CALIFORNIA | 17 | 1994 |
| Lumberyard | CALIFORNIA | 14 | 1996 |
| Riverton | CALIFORNIA | 10 | 1996 |
| Crestview | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2024 |
| Last Chance | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2010 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.