Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pied-billed Grebe In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Pied-billed Grebe in Tamaulipan Brushlands has fallen sharply: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-70%Since 1970
9Routes In Region
21Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Pied-billed Grebe has fallen sharply in Tamaulipan Brushlands: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Pied-billed Grebe in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 92% by 2026 — from 0.11 in 2021 to a central estimate of 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.65). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±114.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-92%Change by 2026
0.01Projected 2026 index
0.00–0.6595% range
±114.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.68 |
| 2023 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| 2024 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| 2025 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.66 |
| 2026 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.65 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Zapata | TEXAS | 3 | 1968 |
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 3 | 1981 |
| George West | TEXAS | 2 | 1994 |
| Catarina 2 | TEXAS | 2 | 2013 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 1 | 2012 |
| Kingsville | TEXAS | 1 | 1992 |
| Randado | TEXAS | 1 | 1967 |
| Catarina | TEXAS | 1 | 2010 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 1 | 2021 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.