Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Pied-billed Grebe In Badlands and Prairies
Pied-billed Grebe in Badlands and Prairies has collapsed: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-85%Since 1969
61Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Pied-billed Grebe has collapsed in Badlands and Prairies: down 85% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Pied-billed Grebe in Badlands and Prairies is projected to fall about 40% by 2029 — from 0.10 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.06 (95% range 0.00–0.56). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-40%Change by 2029
0.06Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.5695% range
±28.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.58 |
| 2026 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.57 |
| 2027 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.57 |
| 2028 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.56 |
| 2029 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.56 |
Routes In Badlands and Prairies
| Albion | MONTANA | 4 | 2014 |
| Lacreek | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 4 | 2023 |
| Cottonwood | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 4 | 2022 |
| Chamberlain | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 1990 |
| Eagle Butte | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2015 |
| Marcus | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2010 |
| White River | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 3 | 2011 |
| Kaycee | WYOMING | 3 | 2024 |
| Roy | MONTANA | 2 | 2017 |
| Savage | MONTANA | 2 | 1980 |
| Forsyth | MONTANA | 2 | 2019 |
| Rockyford | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 1974 |
| Harding | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2012 |
| Fort Pierre | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2024 |
| Ardmore | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2019 |
| Pioneer | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2001 |
| French Creek | SOUTH-DAKOTA | 2 | 2002 |
| Wyarno | WYOMING | 2 | 1987 |
| Natrona | WYOMING | 2 | 1987 |
| Recluse | WYOMING | 2 | 2016 |
| Leroy | MONTANA | 1 | 2019 |
| Brusett | MONTANA | 1 | 2024 |
| Jordan | MONTANA | 1 | 2018 |
| Two Dot | MONTANA | 1 | 2017 |
| Flatwillow | MONTANA | 1 | 1991 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.