BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Painted Redstart In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalForest birds

Painted Redstart in Sierra Madre Occidental has held roughly steady: up 10% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

+10%Since 1975
17Routes In Region
50Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Painted Redstart in Sierra Madre Occidental. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Painted Redstart in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.96 (95% range 0.14–1.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+9%Change by 2029
0.96Projected 2029 index
0.14–1.895% range
±50%Backtest error
19732029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.980.151.8
20260.980.151.8
20270.970.141.8
20280.970.141.8
20290.960.141.8

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Painted Redstart in Sierra Madre Occidental.
PortalARIZONA102024
Tonto Vill.ARIZONA52021
Mt. GrahamARIZONA42023
Emory PassNEW-MEXICO42024
Aztec PeakARIZONA31978
PrescottARIZONA22022
Peña BlancaARIZONA21994
WilliamsARIZONA22001
Carr MtnARIZONA22024
RuckerARIZONA22009
ReserveNEW-MEXICO22023
Mormon LakeARIZONA11974
PatagoniaARIZONA12018
SunizonaARIZONA11997
AlpineARIZONA12023
SprucedaleARIZONA12022
Sunizona 2ARIZONA12001

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.