Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Painted Redstart Population Trend in Arizona
Painted Redstart in Arizona has held roughly steady: up 3% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
+3%Since 1975
15Routes In State
50Years
Notable Painted Redstart Trends in Arizona
No notable trend signals for Painted Redstart in Arizona. See the full index history below.
Painted Redstart Population Forecast in Arizona
If the recent trend holds, Painted Redstart in Arizona is projected to rise about 13% by 2029 — from 0.34 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.39 (95% range 0.00–0.86). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±73.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+13%Change by 2029
0.39Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.8695% range
±73.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.41 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
| 2026 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.87 |
| 2027 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.86 |
| 2028 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.86 |
| 2029 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.86 |
Painted Redstart Survey Routes in Arizona
| Portal | 10 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Tonto Vill. | 5 | 2021 | 1992 |
| Mt. Graham | 4 | 2023 | 1995 |
| Aztec Peak | 3 | 1978 | 1974 |
| Carr Mtn | 2 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Rucker | 2 | 2009 | 1993 |
| Prescott | 2 | 2022 | 1974 |
| Williams | 2 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Peña Blanca | 2 | 1994 | 1982 |
| Patagonia | 1 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Sunizona | 1 | 1997 | 1973 |
| Alpine | 1 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Sunizona 2 | 1 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Mormon Lake | 1 | 1974 | 1974 |
| Sprucedale | 1 | 2022 | 2015 |
Painted Redstart Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.