Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Wheatear Population Trend in Alaska
Northern Wheatear in Alaska has edged up: up 12% on the route-weighted index since 1987.
+12%Since 1987
11Routes In State
22Years
Notable Northern Wheatear Trends in Alaska
No notable trend signals for Northern Wheatear in Alaska. See the full index history below.
Northern Wheatear Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, Northern Wheatear in Alaska is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±88.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.05Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1395% range
±88.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| 2026 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| 2027 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| 2028 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| 2029 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
Northern Wheatear Survey Routes in Alaska
| Happy Valley | 3 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Ruby | 2 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Teller | 2 | 2012 | 1993 |
| Council | 2 | 2012 | 1993 |
| Mt. Fairplay | 1 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Nome | 1 | 2012 | 1993 |
| Salmon Lake | 1 | 2012 | 1994 |
| Toklat | 1 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Cape Nome | 1 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Galbraith L. | 1 | 2015 | 1996 |
| Tangle Lakes | 1 | 1987 | 1987 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.