Species · BCR 14 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Waterthrush In Atlantic Northern Forest

Northern Waterthrush in Atlantic Northern Forest has declined: down 37% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-37%Since 1968
148Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Northern Waterthrush in Atlantic Northern Forest. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Waterthrush in Atlantic Northern Forest is projected to rise about 15% by 2029 — from 0.60 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.69 (95% range 0.32–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±26.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+15%Change by 2029
0.69Projected 2029 index
0.321.195% range
±26.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.710.341.1
20260.700.331.1
20270.700.331.1
20280.690.321.1
20290.690.321.1

Routes In Atlantic Northern Forest

Routes recording Northern Waterthrush in Atlantic Northern Forest.
St DavidMAINE72005
S HoriconNEW-YORK72017
St Regis FlsNEW-YORK72017
WashburnMAINE62005
Pillsbury PdMAINE51968
Dixville Notch 2NEW-HAMPSHIRE52024
DebloisMAINE41987
TelosMAINE42006
Heron LakeMAINE42003
Big Twenty 2MAINE42009
HighmarketNEW-YORK42024
North RiverNEW-YORK42004
East TroyMAINE32017
MedwayMAINE32018
Clayton LakeMAINE32008
LudlowMAINE31998
Horse MtnMAINE32011
Big TwentyMAINE32008
Weeks BrookMAINE32016
YankeetuladiMAINE32009
AndoverMAINE32021
FitzwilliamNEW-HAMPSHIRE32021
ClarksvilleNEW-HAMPSHIRE32023
InletNEW-YORK32017
New HartfordCONNECTICUT21979

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.