Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Pintail In BCR 2

Northern Pintail in BCR 2 has increased: up 33% on the route-weighted index since 1985.

+33%Since 1985
18Routes In Region
40Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Northern Pintail in BCR 2. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Pintail in BCR 2 is projected to rise about 51% by 2029 — from 6.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 9.4 (95% range 0.00–25). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±291.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+51%Change by 2029
9.4Projected 2029 index
0.002595% range
±291.4%Backtest error
19832029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20258.90.0025
20269.00.0025
20279.10.0025
20289.30.0025
20299.40.0025

Routes In BCR 2

Routes recording Northern Pintail in BCR 2.
Cape NomeALASKA262024
Kotzebue (Short)ALASKA261994
Cold BayALASKA102024
CouncilALASKA72024
Goodnews BayALASKA71999
KotzebueALASKA62024
ChiniakALASKA52024
Kanektok RivALASKA52001
Salmon LakeALASKA42019
Gweek RiverALASKA42002
Cold Bay (Short)ALASKA31991
KodiakALASKA21984
King SalmonALASKA22024
Kodiak 2ALASKA22018
NomeALASKA22023
St. Mary'SALASKA12014
Dillingham (Short)ALASKA11984
Selawik (Short)ALASKA11987

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.