Species · BCR 16 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Pintail In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
Northern Pintail in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau has collapsed: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
-94%Since 1972
29Routes In Region
40Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Pintail has collapsed in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1972.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Northern Pintail in Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±203%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2395% range
±203%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.23 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.23 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.23 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.23 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.23 |
Routes In Southern Rockies / Colorado Plateau
| Walden | COLORADO | 12 | 2001 |
| Moon Lake | UTAH | 9 | 1995 |
| Vernal | UTAH | 6 | 2012 |
| Moffat | COLORADO | 4 | 1995 |
| Alamosa | COLORADO | 4 | 2018 |
| Main Canyon | UTAH | 4 | 1988 |
| San Luis | COLORADO | 3 | 1996 |
| Skyline Driv | UTAH | 3 | 1990 |
| Hill Creek | UTAH | 3 | 1994 |
| Colona | COLORADO | 2 | 2008 |
| Tarryall | COLORADO | 2 | 1995 |
| Mosca | COLORADO | 2 | 1993 |
| Dinosaur | COLORADO | 2 | 2024 |
| Navajo Lake | UTAH | 2 | 2008 |
| Cleveland | UTAH | 2 | 2016 |
| Wellington 2 | UTAH | 2 | 2011 |
| Harmony | COLORADO | 1 | 1979 |
| Willow Peak | COLORADO | 1 | 2017 |
| Doyleville | COLORADO | 1 | 1995 |
| Guffey | COLORADO | 1 | 2017 |
| Tincup | COLORADO | 1 | 2007 |
| Mcphee Res. | COLORADO | 1 | 2005 |
| Altonah | UTAH | 1 | 1980 |
| Beaver | UTAH | 1 | 1973 |
| Jensen | UTAH | 1 | 2004 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.