Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Cardinal In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Northern Cardinal in Tamaulipan Brushlands has held roughly steady: up 7% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+7%Since 1969
28Routes In Region
57Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Northern Cardinal in Tamaulipan Brushlands. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 28% by 2029 — from 29 in 2024 to a central estimate of 21 (95% range 0.41–41). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±50%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-28%Change by 2029
21Projected 2029 index
0.41–4195% range
±50%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | 1.4 | 42 |
| 2026 | 21 | 1.1 | 42 |
| 2027 | 21 | 0.90 | 42 |
| 2028 | 21 | 0.66 | 41 |
| 2029 | 21 | 0.41 | 41 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Agua Nueva | TEXAS | 106 | 2023 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 80 | 2023 |
| El Sauz | TEXAS | 49 | 2023 |
| Millett 2 | TEXAS | 49 | 2024 |
| Cavasara Cr. | TEXAS | 49 | 2023 |
| Millett | TEXAS | 48 | 2012 |
| Dilley | TEXAS | 47 | 2024 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 43 | 2024 |
| Catarina 3 | TEXAS | 42 | 2024 |
| Randado | TEXAS | 34 | 2024 |
| La Pryor | TEXAS | 30 | 2017 |
| Mirando City | TEXAS | 29 | 2024 |
| Encinal 2 | TEXAS | 27 | 2024 |
| Guerra | TEXAS | 25 | 2023 |
| George West | TEXAS | 24 | 2024 |
| Catarina | TEXAS | 23 | 2010 |
| Sejita | TEXAS | 23 | 2024 |
| Laredo | TEXAS | 21 | 2023 |
| Kingsville | TEXAS | 17 | 2024 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 12 | 2010 |
| San Ygnacio | TEXAS | 10 | 1985 |
| El Indio | TEXAS | 9 | 2007 |
| Catarina 2 | TEXAS | 9 | 2017 |
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 8 | 2024 |
| Pedro Creek | TEXAS | 5 | 2010 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.