BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 34 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal In Sierra Madre Occidental

All regionsSierra Madre OccidentalGeneralists

Northern Cardinal in Sierra Madre Occidental has increased: up 28% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+28%Since 1970
19Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Northern Cardinal in Sierra Madre Occidental. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Sierra Madre Occidental is projected to rise about 37% by 2029 — from 2.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.4 (95% range 1.5–5.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±52.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+37%Change by 2029
3.4Projected 2029 index
1.5–5.395% range
±52.8%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.31.45.2
20263.41.55.2
20273.41.55.3
20283.41.55.3
20293.41.55.3

Routes In Sierra Madre Occidental

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in Sierra Madre Occidental.
CutterARIZONA242014
AmadoARIZONA202023
PomereneARIZONA112024
Bartlett ResARIZONA102024
PortalARIZONA62024
PatagoniaARIZONA52024
RedingtonARIZONA52023
SahuaritaARIZONA52024
Carr MtnARIZONA42024
Sunizona 2ARIZONA42023
Aztec PeakARIZONA21978
McnealARIZONA22024
San SimonARIZONA12023
Peña BlancaARIZONA12024
SunizonaARIZONA11997
Skull ValleyARIZONA12024
DragoonARIZONA12008
RuckerARIZONA12008
Emory PassNEW-MEXICO11993

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.