BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

All regionsSonoran and Mojave DesertsGeneralists

Northern Cardinal in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has edged up: up 24% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+24%Since 1970
21Routes In Region
54Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Northern Cardinal in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to rise about 107% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.69 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±117.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+107%Change by 2029
0.69Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.495% range
±117.1%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.670.001.4
20260.670.001.4
20270.680.001.4
20280.680.001.4
20290.690.001.4

Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts.
Cutter 2ARIZONA102018
Red Rock 2ARIZONA92024
AjoARIZONA82001
PisinimoARIZONA81993
FlorenceARIZONA71988
Casa GrandeARIZONA52022
CoolidgeARIZONA41985
WickenburgARIZONA42023
New RiverARIZONA32016
Red RockARIZONA22011
Cactus ForestARIZONA22019
LukevilleARIZONA11981
Alamo Res.ARIZONA12023
Palo VerdeARIZONA12013
ArabyARIZONA11996
Cabeza PrietARIZONA12019
Ajo 2ARIZONA12019
Organ PipeARIZONA12023
Palo Verde 2ARIZONA12024
Bates WellARIZONA12022
Alamo RiverCALIFORNIA11977

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.