Species · BCR 29 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Cardinal In Piedmont
Northern Cardinal in Piedmont has risen sharply: up 52% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+52%Since 1968
172Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Northern Cardinal has risen sharply in Piedmont: up 51% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Piedmont is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 47 (95% range 42–52). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±4.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+2%Change by 2029
47Projected 2029 index
42–5295% range
±4.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 45 | 41 | 50 |
| 2026 | 46 | 41 | 51 |
| 2027 | 46 | 41 | 51 |
| 2028 | 46 | 41 | 51 |
| 2029 | 47 | 42 | 52 |
Routes In Piedmont
| Wheaton | MARYLAND | 160 | 2024 |
| Earlton | MARYLAND | 157 | 2024 |
| Olney | MARYLAND | 127 | 2024 |
| Madonna | MARYLAND | 120 | 2022 |
| Little Mtn | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 98 | 1988 |
| Stockbridge | GEORGIA | 97 | 2023 |
| Emmitsburg | MARYLAND | 97 | 2024 |
| Athens | GEORGIA | 89 | 2024 |
| Wilgrove | NORTH-CAROLINA | 89 | 2024 |
| Rutledge | GEORGIA | 86 | 2024 |
| Ijamsville | MARYLAND | 84 | 2024 |
| Oakboro | NORTH-CAROLINA | 81 | 2024 |
| Liberty City | ALABAMA | 80 | 2011 |
| Candler | GEORGIA | 71 | 2024 |
| Durham | NORTH-CAROLINA | 71 | 2024 |
| Whitesburg | GEORGIA | 69 | 2024 |
| Climax | NORTH-CAROLINA | 68 | 2024 |
| Kite Lake | GEORGIA | 67 | 2023 |
| Hebron | GEORGIA | 67 | 2022 |
| Mooresville 2 | NORTH-CAROLINA | 65 | 2024 |
| Lincolnton 2 | GEORGIA | 61 | 2024 |
| Youngsville | NORTH-CAROLINA | 60 | 2024 |
| Tryme | VIRGINIA | 60 | 2024 |
| Prosperity | SOUTH-CAROLINA | 59 | 2024 |
| Sunny Side | GEORGIA | 57 | 2019 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.