BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyGeneralists

Northern Cardinal in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has edged up: up 10% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+10%Since 1968
73Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Northern Cardinal in Mississippi Alluvial Valley. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 28% by 2029 — from 49 in 2024 to a central estimate of 62 (95% range 46–79). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±44.4%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+28%Change by 2029
62Projected 2029 index
46–7995% range
±44.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025614478
2026614578
2027624578
2028624579
2029624679

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
CarlisleLOUISIANA1191988
AtchafalayaLOUISIANA922024
KraemerLOUISIANA902024
Baton RougeLOUISIANA842024
ShawLOUISIANA832024
DundeeMISSISSIPPI822022
KeystoneLOUISIANA772013
RamahLOUISIANA772024
BerwickLOUISIANA742018
Eagle LakeMISSISSIPPI742024
MaynardARKANSAS732024
Rayville 2LOUISIANA732024
Tchula 2MISSISSIPPI731994
BrousvilleLOUISIANA682024
TchulaMISSISSIPPI681975
MayflowerLOUISIANA672024
RoselandLOUISIANA662024
Cp GirardeauMISSOURI652024
Tensas NwrLOUISIANA612024
South BendARKANSAS602023
Warren VickMISSISSIPPI592022
GonzalesLOUISIANA582019
Panther Swamp NwrMISSISSIPPI562018
Crowley'S RidgeARKANSAS542024
FrogmoreLOUISIANA542024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.