BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasGeneralists

Northern Cardinal in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has edged up: up 23% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+23%Since 1969
110Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Northern Cardinal in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 54 (95% range 43–66). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-3%Change by 2029
54Projected 2029 index
43–6695% range
±22%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025544266
2026544366
2027544366
2028544366
2029544366

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
DibollTEXAS1872024
EastonLOUISIANA1121990
Mt. SelmanTEXAS1022024
SmyrnaTEXAS1012010
ChandlerTEXAS992004
CaledoniaTEXAS972024
AthensTEXAS972024
DerryLOUISIANA921989
New WaverlyTEXAS922024
WechesTEXAS902024
Neches BithTEXAS902017
LivingstonTEXAS892024
PocolaOKLAHOMA882016
MarionLOUISIANA821996
Derry 2LOUISIANA822024
Burr FerryLOUISIANA802024
Easton 2TEXAS802024
LockesburgARKANSAS792019
ClayLOUISIANA762024
Pine PrairieLOUISIANA741997
LongstreetLOUISIANA732024
BlancoOKLAHOMA732016
WomackLOUISIANA722024
IvanLOUISIANA712013
ZwolleLOUISIANA692023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.