BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

Northern Cardinal in Prairie Hardwood Transition has surged: up 216% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+216%Since 1968
161Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern Cardinal has surged in Prairie Hardwood Transition: up 215% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 21 (95% range 18–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+5%Change by 2029
21Projected 2029 index
18–2495% range
±2.4%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025201724
2026201724
2027211724
2028211824
2029211824

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
ParisWISCONSIN652024
BeloitWISCONSIN622024
KnoxINDIANA502024
LakevilleINDIANA462024
GalesburgMICHIGAN422024
LapeerMICHIGAN422024
EdenWISCONSIN422024
TrempealeauWISCONSIN412024
HowardsvilleMICHIGAN402024
WiotaWISCONSIN402024
Hamburg 2MICHIGAN392024
Cherry ValILLINOIS382003
St CharlesMICHIGAN372019
BismarkOHIO371995
FowlervilleMICHIGAN362019
Caledonia 2MINNESOTA352024
PardeevilleWISCONSIN352024
OsseoMINNESOTA342024
PrincetonWISCONSIN342024
HoltMICHIGAN332024
Drayton PlnsMICHIGAN331987
Belding 2MICHIGAN332024
New BuffaloMICHIGAN332014
LawrenceMICHIGAN322024
BeldingMICHIGAN322003

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.