BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 12 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Northern Cardinal In Boreal Hardwood Transition

All regionsBoreal Hardwood TransitionGeneralists

Northern Cardinal in Boreal Hardwood Transition has surged: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

11×Since 1969
77Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Northern Cardinal has surged in Boreal Hardwood Transition: up 11× on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Northern Cardinal in Boreal Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.2 (95% range 0.80–1.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.5%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+3%Change by 2029
1.2Projected 2029 index
0.80–1.795% range
±14.5%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.20.711.6
20261.20.731.6
20271.20.751.6
20281.20.771.7
20291.20.801.7

Routes In Boreal Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Northern Cardinal in Boreal Hardwood Transition.
MayfieldMICHIGAN372022
Washington IWISCONSIN292024
Pleasant Valley 2MICHIGAN92024
HarriettaMICHIGAN92024
CunardMICHIGAN72021
Bear LakeMICHIGAN72024
Lake CityMICHIGAN72022
Hubbard LakeMICHIGAN71996
Cedar RunMICHIGAN61999
WausaukeeWISCONSIN62024
OberlinMICHIGAN52024
Frederic 2MICHIGAN52013
HerronMICHIGAN52016
GilmanWISCONSIN52023
Walloon LakeMICHIGAN42004
SkeelsMICHIGAN42015
Skegemog PtMICHIGAN32024
Rib LakeWISCONSIN32024
BashawWISCONSIN32024
Weirgor SpringsWISCONSIN32024
Crystal FlsMICHIGAN22023
Brocky LakeMICHIGAN22024
GilchristMICHIGAN22013
Pleasant ValMICHIGAN21997
IronsMICHIGAN21986

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.