Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Neotropic Cormorant In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Neotropic Cormorant in Tamaulipan Brushlands has declined: down 50% on the route-weighted index since 1978.
-50%Since 1978
14Routes In Region
23Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Neotropic Cormorant in Tamaulipan Brushlands. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Neotropic Cormorant in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 130% by 2028 — from 0.29 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.68 (95% range 0.00–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±156.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+130%Change by 2028
0.68Projected 2028 index
0.00–2.195% range
±156.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2025 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2026 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2027 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
| 2028 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 2.1 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Kingsville | TEXAS | 43 | 2007 |
| Progreso | TEXAS | 30 | 2009 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 16 | 2011 |
| San Ygnacio | TEXAS | 15 | 1982 |
| George West | TEXAS | 8 | 2015 |
| Encinal 2 | TEXAS | 6 | 2022 |
| Heidelberg | TEXAS | 4 | 2023 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 2 | 2006 |
| Agua Nueva | TEXAS | 1 | 2018 |
| Zapata | TEXAS | 1 | 1982 |
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
| Catarina 2 | TEXAS | 1 | 2011 |
| Millett | TEXAS | 1 | 2004 |
| Cavasara Cr. | TEXAS | 1 | 2009 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.