BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 18 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mountain Plover In Shortgrass Prairie

All regionsShortgrass PrairieShorebirds

Mountain Plover in Shortgrass Prairie has collapsed: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-92%Since 1970
54Routes In Region
56Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Mountain Plover has collapsed in Shortgrass Prairie: down 92% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mountain Plover in Shortgrass Prairie is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.62). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±110.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6295% range
±110.2%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.000.62
20260.000.000.62
20270.000.000.62
20280.000.000.62
20290.000.000.62

Routes In Shortgrass Prairie

Routes recording Mountain Plover in Shortgrass Prairie.
EllicottCOLORADO112013
UlyssesKANSAS92017
Gordon CreekCOLORADO71998
Mica ButteCOLORADO61982
CheyenneWYOMING61980
GilpinCOLORADO52011
Wildhorse LCOLORADO52000
KeyesOKLAHOMA52023
CampoCOLORADO42018
GroverCOLORADO42021
Sheridan LakCOLORADO42014
SedanNEW-MEXICO42004
ChanningTEXAS41986
LamarCOLORADO32024
EdisonCOLORADO32023
PritchettCOLORADO32017
Wagon MoundNEW-MEXICO31978
BoyeroCOLORADO22017
Two ButtesCOLORADO22015
HudsonCOLORADO21999
CrowleyCOLORADO22003
StonehamCOLORADO21994
LimonCOLORADO22024
KirkCOLORADO22006
FarleyNEW-MEXICO22018

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.