Species · BCR 10 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mountain Plover In Northern Rockies

Mountain Plover in Northern Rockies has collapsed: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-82%Since 1970
23Routes In Region
48Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Mountain Plover has collapsed in Northern Rockies: down 82% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mountain Plover in Northern Rockies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.11). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±46.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.01Projected 2029 index
0.000.1195% range
±46.7%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.020.000.12
20260.010.000.12
20270.010.000.11
20280.010.000.11
20290.010.000.11

Routes In Northern Rockies

Routes recording Mountain Plover in Northern Rockies.
Bear CreekWYOMING32024
LysiteWYOMING31996
ClarkWYOMING22019
GeboWYOMING22014
BairoilWYOMING21988
WalcottWYOMING21992
Rock RiverWYOMING22006
SeedskadeeWYOMING21998
BoulderMONTANA11970
MidvaleWYOMING11999
ErvayWYOMING12019
MckinnonWYOMING11980
FrannieWYOMING12014
ArmintoWYOMING12015
SweetwaterWYOMING12024
LamontWYOMING12003
PathfinderWYOMING11984
ShirleyWYOMING12022
Green RiverWYOMING11982
RelianceWYOMING11984
WamsutterWYOMING12006
HarmonyWYOMING12022
Prior FlatsWYOMING12006

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.