Species · BCR 5 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mountain Bluebird In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Mountain Bluebird in Northern Pacific Rainforest has fallen sharply: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

-67%Since 1970
17Routes In Region
47Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Mountain Bluebird has fallen sharply in Northern Pacific Rainforest: down 67% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mountain Bluebird in Northern Pacific Rainforest is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.01 (95% range 0.00–0.13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±122.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028
0.01Projected 2028 index
0.000.1395% range
±122.2%Backtest error
19682028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.020.000.14
20250.020.000.13
20260.020.000.13
20270.020.000.13
20280.010.000.13

Routes In Northern Pacific Rainforest

Routes recording Mountain Bluebird in Northern Pacific Rainforest.
Mt ShastaCALIFORNIA122019
Elk LakeOREGON42018
YrekaCALIFORNIA21977
Days CreekOREGON21971
HullvilleCALIFORNIA12000
MccloudCALIFORNIA11983
DirigioCALIFORNIA11999
Hay ForkCALIFORNIA12010
ShellrockOREGON12014
Cool CampOREGON11998
UmpquaOREGON11976
Emigrant LkOREGON11983
Blue RiverOREGON11999
Warner Mtn.OREGON11999
Whiskey Spg.OREGON12004
Hurricane RgWASHINGTON12023
Mt. AdamsWASHINGTON11996

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.