BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Montezuma Quail In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertGeneralists

Montezuma Quail in Chihuahuan Desert has declined: down 27% on the route-weighted index since 1987.

-27%Since 1987
7Routes In Region
21Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Montezuma Quail in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Montezuma Quail in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to fall about 100% by 2028 — from 0.06 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.37). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±60.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2028
0.00Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.3795% range
±60.4%Backtest error
19812028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.020.000.39
20250.010.000.39
20260.010.000.38
20270.000.000.38
20280.000.000.37

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Montezuma Quail in Chihuahuan Desert.
Bear MtnTEXAS22013
MarfaTEXAS22023
Capitan Mtn.NEW-MEXICO12017
Red RockNEW-MEXICO12013
PinonNEW-MEXICO12014
ValentineTEXAS11987
ToyahvaleTEXAS12001

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.