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Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Monk Parakeet In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaGeneralists

Monk Parakeet in Peninsular Florida has increased: up 35% on the route-weighted index since 1991.

+35%Since 1991TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Routes In RegionSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
31YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable SignalsNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Monk Parakeet in Peninsular Florida. See the full index history below.

Monk Parakeet In Peninsular Florida Population Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Monk Parakeet in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 84% by 2028 — from 0.14 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.25 (95% range 0.02–0.48). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±138.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+84%Change by 2028TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.25Projected 2028 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.02–0.4895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±138.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Monk Parakeet in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 84% by 2028 — from 0.14 in 2023 to a central estimate of 0.25 (95% range 0.02–0.48). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±138.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19892028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20240.240.010.47
20250.240.010.47
20260.240.010.47
20270.240.010.47
20280.250.020.48

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Monk Parakeet in Peninsular Florida.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
KendallFLORIDA81991
Citrus ParkFLORIDA42006
Vero BeachFLORIDA31998
RedlandsFLORIDA32023
Plantation KFLORIDA21995
SebastianFLORIDA21989
DavieFLORIDA22017
AripekaFLORIDA22017
Ridge HarborFLORIDA22023
Myakka HeadFLORIDA12006
Pleasant GrFLORIDA12005

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.