BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 35 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Mexican Duck In Chihuahuan Desert

All regionsChihuahuan DesertWaterfowl

Mexican Duck in Chihuahuan Desert has increased: up 43% on the route-weighted index since 1988.

+43%Since 1988
18Routes In Region
34Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Mexican Duck in Chihuahuan Desert. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Mexican Duck in Chihuahuan Desert is projected to rise about 172% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.38 (95% range 0.00–1.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±73.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+172%Change by 2029
0.38Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.195% range
±73.7%Backtest error
19742029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.390.001.1
20260.390.001.1
20270.380.001.1
20280.380.001.1
20290.380.001.1

Routes In Chihuahuan Desert

Routes recording Mexican Duck in Chihuahuan Desert.
PresidioTEXAS112022
MesillaNEW-MEXICO92000
Bear MtnTEXAS62005
GageNEW-MEXICO42009
Quitman Cyn.TEXAS42009
RodeoNEW-MEXICO22017
Red RockNEW-MEXICO22013
Hatchet PeakNEW-MEXICO22016
Laborcita 2NEW-MEXICO22024
SlaughterTEXAS22014
Casa PiedraTEXAS22023
Sierra BlancTEXAS22014
Van HornTEXAS22019
Quitman Canyon 2TEXAS22021
ColumbusNEW-MEXICO12024
Coyanda DrawTEXAS12021
CanutilloTEXAS12024
MarathonTEXAS12019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.