BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Magnolia Warbler In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsForest birds

Magnolia Warbler in Appalachian Mountains has surged: up 590% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+590%Since 1968
132Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Magnolia Warbler has surged in Appalachian Mountains: up 590% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Magnolia Warbler in Appalachian Mountains is projected to rise about 26% by 2029 — from 0.75 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.94 (95% range 0.66–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+26%Change by 2029
0.94Projected 2029 index
0.66–1.295% range
±30.8%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.880.601.2
20260.900.621.2
20270.910.631.2
20280.930.641.2
20290.940.661.2

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Magnolia Warbler in Appalachian Mountains.
Glade RunWEST-VIRGINIA212002
Glade Run 2WEST-VIRGINIA202024
BemisWEST-VIRGINIA192024
GladyWEST-VIRGINIA152024
BowdenWEST-VIRGINIA112024
Mawr GlenPENNSYLVANIA92024
McdonoughNEW-YORK72017
BusickNORTH-CAROLINA71996
AnsoniaPENNSYLVANIA72024
Russell CityPENNSYLVANIA62024
RidgwayPENNSYLVANIA62018
EldredPENNSYLVANIA62022
Green BankWEST-VIRGINIA62024
OxfordNEW-YORK51975
Vestal CtrNEW-YORK52019
Swain 2NEW-YORK52024
N Pine GrovePENNSYLVANIA52024
Marsh HillPENNSYLVANIA52024
LoguePENNSYLVANIA42023
HonesdalePENNSYLVANIA42017
StarlightPENNSYLVANIA41999
Pocono Summit 2PENNSYLVANIA42006
MeadowvilleWEST-VIRGINIA42024
JenningsMARYLAND32024
FinzelMARYLAND32024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.