Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Louisiana Waterthrush In Central Hardwoods
Louisiana Waterthrush in Central Hardwoods has risen sharply: up 71% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+71%Since 1968
130Routes In Region
58Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Louisiana Waterthrush has risen sharply in Central Hardwoods: up 71% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Louisiana Waterthrush in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 14% by 2029 — from 0.61 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.70 (95% range 0.50–0.90). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±12.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+14%Change by 2029
0.70Projected 2029 index
0.50–0.9095% range
±12.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.67 | 0.47 | 0.87 |
| 2026 | 0.68 | 0.47 | 0.88 |
| 2027 | 0.68 | 0.48 | 0.88 |
| 2028 | 0.69 | 0.49 | 0.89 |
| 2029 | 0.70 | 0.50 | 0.90 |
Routes In Central Hardwoods
| Cascade | MISSOURI | 4 | 2024 |
| Joy | KENTUCKY | 3 | 2023 |
| Barks | MISSOURI | 3 | 2024 |
| Rome | OHIO | 3 | 2024 |
| Pond Creek | TENNESSEE | 3 | 2024 |
| Collinwood | TENNESSEE | 3 | 2024 |
| Elkmont | ALABAMA | 2 | 2024 |
| Compton | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2022 |
| Marshall | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2021 |
| Rudy | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2024 |
| Delwood | ILLINOIS | 2 | 2024 |
| Cave In Rock | ILLINOIS | 2 | 2023 |
| Corydon | INDIANA | 2 | 2024 |
| Vevay | INDIANA | 2 | 2018 |
| Canton | KENTUCKY | 2 | 2018 |
| Merrimac | KENTUCKY | 2 | 2024 |
| Drakesboro | KENTUCKY | 2 | 1993 |
| Daniel Boone | KENTUCKY | 2 | 1988 |
| Levee 2 | KENTUCKY | 2 | 2017 |
| Mammoth Cave | KENTUCKY | 2 | 2014 |
| Cassville | MISSOURI | 2 | 2011 |
| Syracuse | MISSOURI | 2 | 2024 |
| Williamsvill | MISSOURI | 2 | 2024 |
| Crane | MISSOURI | 2 | 2024 |
| Marshfield | MISSOURI | 2 | 2017 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.