BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 3 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Long-tailed Jaeger In BCR 3

All regionsBCR 3Generalists

Long-tailed Jaeger in BCR 3 has edged up: up 11% on the route-weighted index since 1995.

+11%Since 1995
4Routes In Region
30Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Long-tailed Jaeger in BCR 3. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Long-tailed Jaeger in BCR 3 is projected to fall about 78% by 2029 — from 12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.5 (95% range 0.00–8.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±79%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-78%Change by 2029
2.5Projected 2029 index
0.00–8.195% range
±79%Backtest error
19932029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.80.008.4
20262.70.008.3
20272.70.008.2
20282.60.008.2
20292.50.008.1

Routes In BCR 3

Routes recording Long-tailed Jaeger in BCR 3.
Red DogALASKA402024
Galbraith L.ALASKA72024
UtqiagvikALASKA62023
Happy ValleyALASKA12021

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.