Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Loggerhead Shrike In Tamaulipan Brushlands
Loggerhead Shrike in Tamaulipan Brushlands has surged: up 277% on the route-weighted index since 1976.
+277%Since 1976
16Routes In Region
47Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Loggerhead Shrike has surged in Tamaulipan Brushlands: up 277% on the route-weighted index since 1976.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Loggerhead Shrike in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to fall about 32% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.79 (95% range 0.16–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±166.8%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-32%Change by 2029
0.79Projected 2029 index
0.16–1.495% range
±166.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.75 | 0.12 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.76 | 0.13 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.77 | 0.14 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.78 | 0.15 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.79 | 0.16 | 1.4 |
Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands
| Kingsville | TEXAS | 6 | 2024 |
| Heidelberg | TEXAS | 4 | 2024 |
| Mirando City | TEXAS | 2 | 2009 |
| La Pryor | TEXAS | 2 | 2010 |
| Raymondville | TEXAS | 2 | 2024 |
| El Sauz | TEXAS | 2 | 2015 |
| Progreso | TEXAS | 2 | 2011 |
| Rachal | TEXAS | 1 | 2023 |
| Randado | TEXAS | 1 | 2022 |
| Encinal | TEXAS | 1 | 1977 |
| George West | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
| Catarina | TEXAS | 1 | 2006 |
| Hondo | TEXAS | 1 | 2019 |
| Catarina 3 | TEXAS | 1 | 2018 |
| Sejita | TEXAS | 1 | 2024 |
| Millett | TEXAS | 1 | 1995 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.