BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 28 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Loggerhead Shrike In Appalachian Mountains

All regionsAppalachian MountainsGeneralists

Loggerhead Shrike in Appalachian Mountains has collapsed: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-95%Since 1968
63Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Loggerhead Shrike has collapsed in Appalachian Mountains: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Loggerhead Shrike in Appalachian Mountains is projected to stay roughly flat through 2028, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–0.12). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±281.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2028
0.00Projected 2028 index
0.00–0.1295% range
±281.6%Backtest error
19662028
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20240.000.000.12
20250.000.000.12
20260.000.000.12
20270.000.000.12
20280.000.000.12

Routes In Appalachian Mountains

Routes recording Loggerhead Shrike in Appalachian Mountains.
CovingtonVIRGINIA51967
DawsonALABAMA41998
DearmanvilleALABAMA41980
Smyer LakeALABAMA42003
Smokey JctTENNESSEE41997
YoungtownALABAMA32021
BirminghamALABAMA21992
MentoneALABAMA22006
LakeviewALABAMA22023
StevensonALABAMA22002
CartersvilleGEORGIA21979
Davis CrossroadsGEORGIA22019
Corryton RdTENNESSEE21988
Mt OliveTENNESSEE21995
Allens BrdgeTENNESSEE21994
Star TanneryVIRGINIA21985
EdinburgVIRGINIA21972
JeromeVIRGINIA21984
RioWEST-VIRGINIA21974
TradeALABAMA12016
SummittALABAMA11980
Pine GroveALABAMA12013
Sunny EveALABAMA11991
GreensportALABAMA12003
Mt OliveALABAMA12015

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.