Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Loggerhead Shrike In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
Loggerhead Shrike in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has collapsed: down 98% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
-98%Since 1969
72Routes In Region
56Years
Notable Signals
long arc declinecomputed index
Loggerhead Shrike has collapsed in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 97% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Loggerhead Shrike in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.12 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±1244.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.495% range
±1244.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas
| Town Bluff | TEXAS | 12 | 1990 |
| Burr Ferry | LOUISIANA | 6 | 2004 |
| Mer Rouge | LOUISIANA | 5 | 2008 |
| Fillmore | LOUISIANA | 5 | 1989 |
| Stark | ARKANSAS | 4 | 2000 |
| Cypress | LOUISIANA | 4 | 1987 |
| Fort Polk | LOUISIANA | 4 | 1975 |
| Indianola | OKLAHOMA | 4 | 2024 |
| De Ridder | LOUISIANA | 3 | 2019 |
| Blanco | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 1987 |
| Matoy | OKLAHOMA | 3 | 2000 |
| Union Hill | TEXAS | 3 | 2007 |
| Locust Bayou | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2001 |
| Coal Hill | ARKANSAS | 2 | 1994 |
| Havana | ARKANSAS | 2 | 2013 |
| Enterprise | LOUISIANA | 2 | 2024 |
| Goodwater | OKLAHOMA | 2 | 2013 |
| Chandler | TEXAS | 2 | 2004 |
| Neches Bith | TEXAS | 2 | 2016 |
| Old Milo | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2002 |
| Ramsey | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1997 |
| Stamps | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2023 |
| Hope | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1999 |
| Ashdown | ARKANSAS | 1 | 2001 |
| Crows | ARKANSAS | 1 | 1988 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.