BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 36 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lesser Nighthawk In Tamaulipan Brushlands

All regionsTamaulipan BrushlandsAerial insectivores

Lesser Nighthawk in Tamaulipan Brushlands has fallen sharply: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-54%Since 1969
28Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Lesser Nighthawk has fallen sharply in Tamaulipan Brushlands: down 54% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lesser Nighthawk in Tamaulipan Brushlands is projected to rise about 335% by 2029 — from 0.92 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.0 (95% range 0.00–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±205.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+335%Change by 2029
4.0Projected 2029 index
0.00–1395% range
±205.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20254.20.0013
20264.10.0013
20274.10.0013
20284.00.0013
20294.00.0013

Routes In Tamaulipan Brushlands

Routes recording Lesser Nighthawk in Tamaulipan Brushlands.
CatarinaTEXAS342010
EncinalTEXAS132010
Pedro CreekTEXAS112010
LaredoTEXAS102023
Catarina 3TEXAS72023
ProgresoTEXAS62010
RachalTEXAS51996
KingsvilleTEXAS51989
La PryorTEXAS52005
El SauzTEXAS52023
San YgnacioTEXAS41985
El IndioTEXAS42007
Cavasara Cr.TEXAS42023
Mirando CityTEXAS32024
Catarina 2TEXAS32017
HeidelbergTEXAS32019
RandadoTEXAS22024
HondoTEXAS22024
RaymondvilleTEXAS22019
DilleyTEXAS22024
SejitaTEXAS22019
MillettTEXAS22012
Agua NuevaTEXAS11999
ZapataTEXAS11984
George WestTEXAS12023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.