Species · BCR 32 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Lesser Nighthawk In Coastal California
Lesser Nighthawk in Coastal California has declined: down 27% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-27%Since 1970
22Routes In Region
52Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Lesser Nighthawk in Coastal California. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Lesser Nighthawk in Coastal California is projected to fall about 17% by 2029 — from 0.11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.23). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±193.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-17%Change by 2029
0.09Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.2395% range
±193.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.24 |
| 2026 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.24 |
| 2027 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.24 |
| 2028 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.23 |
| 2029 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.23 |
Routes In Coastal California
| Rumsey | CALIFORNIA | 6 | 2008 |
| Atwater | CALIFORNIA | 5 | 2004 |
| Copperopolis | CALIFORNIA | 4 | 1994 |
| Cuyamaca Pk | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 2024 |
| Ora Loma | CALIFORNIA | 3 | 1981 |
| Pennington | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 1976 |
| Maricopa | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2024 |
| Anza | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2003 |
| Ventucopa | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2002 |
| Oroville | CALIFORNIA | 2 | 2006 |
| Hughson | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2016 |
| Gravesboro | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1995 |
| Bakersfield | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2005 |
| Oak Grove | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2023 |
| Coalinga | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1990 |
| Lake Success | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1976 |
| Cohasset | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1991 |
| Orland | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2011 |
| Mesa Grande | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2000 |
| Jacumba | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 2023 |
| Arvin | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1985 |
| Tranquillity | CALIFORNIA | 1 | 1986 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.