BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 23 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Least Flycatcher In Prairie Hardwood Transition

All regionsPrairie Hardwood TransitionAerial insectivores

Least Flycatcher in Prairie Hardwood Transition has declined: down 27% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-27%Since 1968
143Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

No notable trend signals for Least Flycatcher in Prairie Hardwood Transition. See the full index history below.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Least Flycatcher in Prairie Hardwood Transition is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.00 (95% range 0.52–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±11.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-8%Change by 2029
1.00Projected 2029 index
0.52–1.595% range
±11.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.00.541.5
20261.00.531.5
20271.00.531.5
20281.00.521.5
20291.000.521.5

Routes In Prairie Hardwood Transition

Routes recording Least Flycatcher in Prairie Hardwood Transition.
GreshamWISCONSIN222024
Brook ParkMINNESOTA122024
New LondonMINNESOTA102024
Stevens PtWISCONSIN102023
MerrillWISCONSIN82024
Sherburne NrMINNESOTA62024
MatherWISCONSIN62023
OwendaleMICHIGAN51994
EvergreenMINNESOTA52024
Big RapidsMICHIGAN41990
TyreMICHIGAN41996
HungerfordMICHIGAN42024
KnappMINNESOTA42024
Whitewater 2MINNESOTA42019
CumberlandWISCONSIN42024
UnityWISCONSIN42024
Wis RapidsWISCONSIN42023
KnoxINDIANA32011
ScottvilleMICHIGAN32024
RemusMICHIGAN32024
AdairMICHIGAN31995
WeyerhauserWISCONSIN32024
HolwayWISCONSIN31989
HatfieldWISCONSIN31997
ManawaWISCONSIN32024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.