BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 17 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Least Flycatcher In Badlands and Prairies

All regionsBadlands and PrairiesAerial insectivores

Least Flycatcher in Badlands and Prairies has surged: up 380% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+380%Since 1969
69Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Least Flycatcher has surged in Badlands and Prairies: up 380% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Least Flycatcher in Badlands and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.1 (95% range 0.67–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+8%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.67–1.595% range
±38.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.00.621.4
20261.00.631.4
20271.00.641.4
20281.10.661.5
20291.10.671.5

Routes In Badlands and Prairies

Routes recording Least Flycatcher in Badlands and Prairies.
Reed PointMONTANA182024
ZapNORTH-DAKOTA92024
HighwoodMONTANA82024
PromiseSOUTH-DAKOTA72012
Dunn CenterNORTH-DAKOTA62023
DaytonWYOMING62024
ForsythMONTANA52023
TobaccoNORTH-DAKOTA52019
SolenNORTH-DAKOTA52024
BrandenbergMONTANA42019
RavenWYOMING41995
LocateMONTANA32024
GorhamNORTH-DAKOTA32018
BrusettMONTANA22024
JordanMONTANA22017
CircleMONTANA22016
SavageMONTANA22021
Two DotMONTANA22024
St XavierMONTANA22011
Flatwillow 2MONTANA22023
Dinosaurs H.M.MONTANA22019
LindsayMONTANA22024
Miles CityMONTANA22024
Wheat BasinMONTANA22023
Winifred 2MONTANA22024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.