Species · BCR 30 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Least Bittern In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast
Least Bittern in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast has surged: up 165% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+165%Since 1969
11Routes In Region
49Years
Notable Signals
long arc increasecomputed index
Least Bittern has surged in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast: up 165% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Least Bittern in New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.05 (95% range 0.00–0.10). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-8%Change by 2029
0.05Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1095% range
±22.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| 2026 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| 2027 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| 2028 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| 2029 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
Routes In New England / Mid-Atlantic Coast
| Danbury | CONNECTICUT | 2 | 1976 |
| Blackbird | DELAWARE | 2 | 2021 |
| Madison | MARYLAND | 2 | 2024 |
| Warren | CONNECTICUT | 1 | 1988 |
| Harrington | DELAWARE | 1 | 2003 |
| Golden Hill | MARYLAND | 1 | 1969 |
| Honga | MARYLAND | 1 | 2024 |
| Cokesbury | MARYLAND | 1 | 2022 |
| Dover | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 1 | 1973 |
| East Kingston | NEW-HAMPSHIRE | 1 | 2017 |
| Friendship | NEW-JERSEY | 1 | 2024 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.