BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 33 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lawrence's Goldfinch In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

All regionsSonoran and Mojave DesertsGeneralists

Lawrence's Goldfinch in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts has collapsed: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

-80%Since 1974
8Routes In Region
37Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Lawrence's Goldfinch has collapsed in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts: down 80% on the route-weighted index since 1974.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lawrence's Goldfinch in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.06 (95% range 0.00–0.40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±75.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-6%Change by 2029
0.06Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.4095% range
±75.9%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.080.000.41
20260.080.000.41
20270.070.000.41
20280.070.000.40
20290.060.000.40

Routes In Sonoran and Mojave Deserts

Routes recording Lawrence's Goldfinch in Sonoran and Mojave Deserts.
Calif CityCALIFORNIA91995
Willow Springs 2CALIFORNIA52014
Anza BorregoCALIFORNIA32023
Willow SpgsCALIFORNIA21976
InyokernCALIFORNIA21995
OnyxCALIFORNIA12001
PearblossomCALIFORNIA12024
Kelso ValleyCALIFORNIA12024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.