BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 19 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lark Bunting In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

All regionsCentral Mixed Grass PrairieGrassland birds

Lark Bunting in Central Mixed Grass Prairie has collapsed: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-95%Since 1969
63Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Lark Bunting has collapsed in Central Mixed Grass Prairie: down 95% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Lark Bunting in Central Mixed Grass Prairie is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.73 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–5.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±110.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029
0.00Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.295% range
±110.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.000.005.2
20260.000.005.2
20270.000.005.2
20280.000.005.2
20290.000.005.2

Routes In Central Mixed Grass Prairie

Routes recording Lark Bunting in Central Mixed Grass Prairie.
AshlandKANSAS461984
HaysKANSAS192014
GoveKANSAS162017
RexfordKANSAS162024
CoatsKANSAS121972
DamarKANSAS112016
BelvidereNEBRASKA101970
SutherlandNEBRASKA102024
GordonNEBRASKA92024
Wheeler CoNEBRASKA92010
DouglasOKLAHOMA81972
ColdwaterKANSAS41998
HollenbergKANSAS41970
PhillipsburgKANSAS42019
StrattonNEBRASKA42024
RinggoldNEBRASKA42024
BrownleeNEBRASKA42016
Berwyn 2NEBRASKA42016
CulbertsonNEBRASKA42024
WoodwardOKLAHOMA42004
GrayKANSAS32014
MisslerKANSAS32019
Ash ValleyKANSAS32019
TableNEBRASKA32008
ArthurNEBRASKA32023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.