Species · BCR 2 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Lapland Longspur In BCR 2
Lapland Longspur in BCR 2 has edged down: down 16% on the route-weighted index since 1986.
-16%Since 1986
15Routes In Region
40Years
Notable Signals
No notable trend signals for Lapland Longspur in BCR 2. See the full index history below.
Forecast
If the recent trend holds, Lapland Longspur in BCR 2 is projected to rise about 26% by 2029 — from 11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 14 (95% range 0.00–33). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±89.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+26%Change by 2029
14Projected 2029 index
0.00–3395% range
±89.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15 | 0.00 | 34 |
| 2026 | 15 | 0.00 | 34 |
| 2027 | 15 | 0.00 | 34 |
| 2028 | 15 | 0.00 | 34 |
| 2029 | 14 | 0.00 | 33 |
Routes In BCR 2
| Cold Bay | ALASKA | 55 | 2024 |
| Cold Bay (Short) | ALASKA | 36 | 1992 |
| Cape Nome | ALASKA | 22 | 2024 |
| Teller | ALASKA | 22 | 2024 |
| St. Mary'S | ALASKA | 18 | 2014 |
| Kotzebue (Short) | ALASKA | 7 | 1986 |
| Kotzebue | ALASKA | 4 | 2023 |
| Nome | ALASKA | 3 | 2023 |
| King Salmon | ALASKA | 2 | 2024 |
| Kugarak (Short) | ALASKA | 2 | 1986 |
| Katmai N.P. | ALASKA | 1 | 1993 |
| Chiniak | ALASKA | 1 | 1997 |
| Council | ALASKA | 1 | 2024 |
| Salmon Lake | ALASKA | 1 | 2019 |
| Gweek River | ALASKA | 1 | 1997 |
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.