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Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Lapland Longspur Population Trend in Alaska

All statesGeneralists

Lapland Longspur in Alaska has fallen sharply: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1984.

-53%Since 1984
27Routes In State
42Years

Notable Lapland Longspur Trends in Alaska

long arc declinecomputed index

Lapland Longspur has fallen sharply in Alaska: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1984.

Lapland Longspur Population Forecast in Alaska

If the recent trend holds, Lapland Longspur in Alaska is projected to fall about 69% by 2029 — from 4.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.00–7.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±61.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-69%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
0.00–7.995% range
±61.2%Backtest error
19822029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20252.20.008.6
20262.10.008.5
20271.90.008.3
20281.70.008.1
20291.50.007.9

Lapland Longspur Survey Routes in Alaska

Routes recording Lapland Longspur in Alaska.
Galbraith L.16920241993
Adak9020011983
Cold Bay5520241993
Utqiagvik4320232021
Happy Valley4320241993
Cold Bay (Short)3619921984
Cape Nome2220241993
Teller2220241993
St. Mary'S1820141993
Red Dog1520241995
Kotzebue (Short)719861986
Paxson Lake419921991
Kotzebue420232001
Nome320231993
Kobuk River (Short)319921992
Monahan220001983
Caribou Mtn.219931993
King Salmon220241993
Kugarak (Short)219861986
Hatcher Pass219981998
Chiniak119971985
Maclaren120021982
Toklat120161982
Council120241993
Salmon Lake120191993

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.