BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 31 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer In Peninsular Florida

All regionsPeninsular FloridaShorebirds

Killdeer in Peninsular Florida has fallen sharply: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-66%Since 1968
77Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Killdeer has fallen sharply in Peninsular Florida: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Peninsular Florida is projected to rise about 42% by 2029 — from 1.1 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.5 (95% range 0.12–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±56.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+42%Change by 2029
1.5Projected 2029 index
0.12–3.095% range
±56.5%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.70.263.1
20261.60.233.1
20271.60.193.0
20281.60.153.0
20291.50.123.0

Routes In Peninsular Florida

Routes recording Killdeer in Peninsular Florida.
KendallFLORIDA151991
Shawano 2FLORIDA142011
SalvistaFLORIDA111979
ShawanoFLORIDA112002
PalmdaleFLORIDA102022
Dale MabryFLORIDA91988
IndiantownFLORIDA92017
Wildernes PkFLORIDA92012
ClewistonFLORIDA82023
WebbFLORIDA72024
Babcock RnchFLORIDA71989
ArbuckleFLORIDA62014
DavieFLORIDA62011
Ridge HarborFLORIDA62024
ChildsFLORIDA52021
Ft LonesomeFLORIDA52023
FlemingtonFLORIDA51998
Myakka HeadFLORIDA42007
AlturasFLORIDA41986
TamiamiFLORIDA41971
NobletonFLORIDA42006
Devils GardnFLORIDA42024
AlvaFLORIDA42012
Weaver StnFLORIDA42019
Sandy 2FLORIDA42024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.