BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 26 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

All regionsMississippi Alluvial ValleyShorebirds

Killdeer in Mississippi Alluvial Valley has surged: up 319% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+319%Since 1968
73Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Killdeer has surged in Mississippi Alluvial Valley: up 319% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Mississippi Alluvial Valley is projected to rise about 39% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 18 (95% range 13–24). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±38.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+39%Change by 2029
18Projected 2029 index
13–2495% range
±38.9%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
2025171223
2026181223
2027181323
2028181323
2029181324

Routes In Mississippi Alluvial Valley

Routes recording Killdeer in Mississippi Alluvial Valley.
DellARKANSAS712024
WilsonARKANSAS502024
KelsoARKANSAS482016
UlmARKANSAS472024
LafeARKANSAS362022
WhittonARKANSAS341991
PawpawTENNESSEE332012
HaytiMISSOURI312021
Dahomey NwrMISSISSIPPI282024
CommerceMISSISSIPPI231993
KennettMISSOURI232024
West TylerARKANSAS221984
DeventerMISSOURI212024
IsolaMISSISSIPPI202022
MaynardARKANSAS192024
TippoMISSISSIPPI192024
Hickory RidgeARKANSAS162022
Augusta 2ARKANSAS162016
River RoadLOUISIANA162024
Cp GirardeauMISSOURI162024
CarlisleLOUISIANA151988
BrousvilleLOUISIANA142024
WintervilleMISSISSIPPI142011
Panther Swamp NwrMISSISSIPPI142018
HughesARKANSAS132023

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.