BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 25 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

All regionsWest Gulf Coastal Plain / OuachitasShorebirds

Killdeer in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas has collapsed: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-77%Since 1969
101Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Killdeer has collapsed in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas is projected to fall about 51% by 2029 — from 0.74 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.37 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-51%Change by 2029
0.37Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.495% range
±42%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.550.001.6
20260.510.001.5
20270.460.001.5
20280.410.001.4
20290.370.001.4

Routes In West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas

Routes recording Killdeer in West Gulf Coastal Plain / Ouachitas.
SandbluffOKLAHOMA141995
ChandlerTEXAS132004
CypressLOUISIANA91987
CanadianOKLAHOMA92017
MatoyOKLAHOMA92000
McalesterOKLAHOMA81991
LockesburgARKANSAS72018
FillmoreLOUISIANA71989
De RidderLOUISIANA62019
Union HillTEXAS62022
DerryLOUISIANA51988
Mer RougeLOUISIANA52008
MortonTEXAS52024
Neches BithTEXAS52017
AshdownARKANSAS42023
TroutLOUISIANA42024
NatchitochesLOUISIANA41991
Lake CoveLOUISIANA42018
IndianolaOKLAHOMA42024
EastonTEXAS42013
Lance Rosier BithTEXAS42019
Old MiloARKANSAS32014
BlakelyARKANSAS31999
Fort PolkLOUISIANA31975
LongstreetLOUISIANA32019

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.