BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 24 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer In Central Hardwoods

All regionsCentral HardwoodsShorebirds

Killdeer in Central Hardwoods has surged: up 97% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+97%Since 1968
156Routes In Region
58Years

Notable Signals

long arc increasecomputed index

Killdeer has surged in Central Hardwoods: up 97% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Central Hardwoods is projected to rise about 17% by 2029 — from 4.9 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.7 (95% range 3.6–7.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±14.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+17%Change by 2029
5.7Projected 2029 index
3.6–7.895% range
±14.7%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.63.67.7
20265.63.67.7
20275.73.67.7
20285.73.67.7
20295.73.67.8

Routes In Central Hardwoods

Routes recording Killdeer in Central Hardwoods.
Wheeler DamALABAMA462023
Brnt PrairieILLINOIS382024
NewberryINDIANA322024
CyprssINDIANA242024
CumbackINDIANA232021
WashingtonINDIANA222024
BrazilINDIANA172024
MerrimacKENTUCKY162024
Carter GroveALABAMA152023
Hodgenville 2KENTUCKY152023
YorkILLINOIS142024
BirdsILLINOIS132024
ScottsburgINDIANA132024
PleasurevillKENTUCKY132024
GoshenKENTUCKY121999
Cole CampMISSOURI121990
CollinwoodTENNESSEE122024
AzaliaINDIANA112024
CorydonINDIANA112024
Cross PlainsINDIANA112024
KeysburgKENTUCKY112024
MillionKENTUCKY111986
MorganfieldKENTUCKY112024
Bays ForkKENTUCKY102019
RoyaltonILLINOIS92024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.