BirdAnalyst
Species · BCR 21 · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Killdeer In Oaks and Prairies

All regionsOaks and PrairiesShorebirds

Killdeer in Oaks and Prairies has fallen sharply: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-70%Since 1969
73Routes In Region
57Years

Notable Signals

long arc declinecomputed index

Killdeer has fallen sharply in Oaks and Prairies: down 70% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Killdeer in Oaks and Prairies is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 2.7 (95% range 0.00–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±170.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-1%Change by 2029
2.7Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.895% range
±170.1%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.00.006.1
20262.90.006.1
20272.90.006.0
20282.80.005.9
20292.70.005.8

Routes In Oaks and Prairies

Routes recording Killdeer in Oaks and Prairies.
RhomeTEXAS212024
Wolfe CityTEXAS131987
E GeorgetownTEXAS121979
Thornton 2TEXAS112010
ThorntonTEXAS91983
OlneyTEXAS92024
Wills PointTEXAS92016
GainesvilleTEXAS82024
LocoOKLAHOMA71985
SchroederTEXAS71994
BriteTEXAS72024
MegargelTEXAS72024
MuldoonTEXAS62024
LockhartTEXAS62024
CreedmoreTEXAS62014
TatumsOKLAHOMA52022
DuncanOKLAHOMA52024
HobsonTEXAS52024
WeatherfordTEXAS52024
CarlosTEXAS52024
BartlesvilleOKLAHOMA42024
GauseTEXAS41997
Peach CreekTEXAS41992
DikeTEXAS42018
CayugaTEXAS42024

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.